Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.244707 0.276681 0.310686 0.349483 0.392457 0.438538 0.491624
2025-08-31 0.199722 0.242341 0.290437 0.348518 0.416527 0.493400 0.586621
2025-09-07 0.171976 0.221786 0.280922 0.355839 0.447700 0.556116 0.693155
2025-09-14 0.147534 0.201142 0.267777 0.355884 0.468404 0.606297 0.786941
2025-09-21 0.128443 0.184289 0.256674 0.356148 0.487877 0.654756 0.880311
2025-09-28 0.113087 0.170148 0.247024 0.356459 0.506210 0.701648 0.973238
2025-10-05 0.102276 0.160743 0.242343 0.362266 0.531260 0.757715 1.080204
2025-10-12 0.094361 0.154410 0.240981 0.371959 0.561497 0.821572 1.200103
2025-10-19 0.085765 0.145995 0.235612 0.375052 0.582030 0.872503 1.304084
2025-10-26 0.079683 0.140702 0.234177 0.383401 0.610081 0.934742 1.426129
2025-11-02 0.074816 0.136760 0.234288 0.393754 0.641236 1.002399 1.558389
2025-11-09 0.067786 0.128479 0.226798 0.391587 0.653014 1.041897 1.650969
2025-11-16 0.061626 0.121206 0.220557 0.391287 0.668176 1.087985 1.756828
2025-11-23 0.055964 0.114184 0.214084 0.390006 0.681501 1.131685 1.860824
2025-11-30 0.052496 0.110747 0.213317 0.397961 0.709826 1.199431 2.004051
2025-12-07 0.048094 0.105071 0.208136 0.397942 0.724910 1.246908 2.117589
2025-12-14 0.044189 0.099909 0.203385 0.398197 0.740222 1.295117 2.233875
2025-12-21 0.040687 0.095147 0.198917 0.398518 0.755448 1.343552 2.352091
2025-12-28 0.038295 0.092384 0.197912 0.404909 0.781284 1.410165 2.501896
2026-01-04 0.036612 0.090927 0.199243 0.415585 0.815025 1.491039 2.677746
2026-01-11 0.034231 0.087691 0.196819 0.418989 0.835857 1.550895 2.820809
2026-01-18 0.032656 0.086072 0.197455 0.428186 0.867469 1.630107 2.998785
2026-01-25 0.031407 0.085056 0.199208 0.439587 0.903554 1.718213 3.194600